The polls had predicted the outcome astonishingly well, and yet Monday’s quake at Westminster was huge. Immediately, Nigel Farage’s newly formed Brexit Party won 32 percent of the votes, making it by far the best result in European elections in the United Kingdom. On the other side of the spectrum, the Liberal Democrats with 20 percent and the Greens with 12 percent almost historical results. The two big losers were the Labor Party with 14 percent and the Conservatives with nine. Already at the last European elections, they had done poorly and together received only 49 percent. Now they have come to a meager 23 percent together with popular parties that have fallen apart with regard to Brexit.
Many referred to these elections as an early referendum or referendum on Brexit. If so, you get a familiar picture. The kingdom is as divided as it was three years ago. The Brexit Party and the Independence Party Ukip, both of which promote a “resignation to the stipulations of the World Trade Organization WTO”, ie a no-deal-Brexit, came together to 35 percent. A total of 36 percent reached the remaining in the EU Liberal Democrats, the Greens and the party Change UK and the Welsh Plaid Cymru. All other parties have been voted on by both opponents and advocates of Brexit, although the Labor Party and the Tories have officially acknowledged the referendum result and the Scottish Nationalists are seeking a second referendum. “The result confirms that the electorate is divided in the middle and has polarized between the two options,” the pollster John Curtice analyzed on Monday.
This is not without its impact on the two popular parties, whose attempt to bind both Brexit and Remain voters, failed. Tories recognized on Monday a “wake-up call” for the party, which must now deliver as quickly as possible a clear Brexit. Boris Johnson, who is considered the favorite for the succession of Theresa May, spoke of a “last warning” of the voters. “If we continue like that, we’ll be fired: unbound from the job of leading the country,” he wrote in his weekly newspaper column. It now applies “to come from the EU – and that means: make it neat”. Other candidates, such as Foreign Minister Jeremy Hunt, spoke of a “painful outcome”. The party faces “an existential risk if we do not get together and get Brexit,” Hunt said.