Canadians will decide who will form the next government during early legislative elections, between giving liberal Justin Trudeau a third term or rotating the power to conservative, Erin O’Toole.
The lightning election campaign, which lasted 36 days, ended with a speech by the outgoing Prime Minister in which he asked Canadians to grant him a new term to lead the country, and to oversee ways out of the Corona pandemic crisis, calling for early elections in mid-August in an attempt to restore the majority he lost two years ago.
Trudeau’s image is starting to show signs of waning, and it seems that the huge popularity he enjoyed in 2015 is far away, as he received only 31 percent of voting intentions, as did his main conservative opponent, Erin O’Toole, who was nevertheless unknown not long ago, according to opinion polls.
“It’s hard to imagine a tougher competition,” says Felix Mathew, a professor of political affairs at the University of Winnipeg. Similar to 2019, the state of anticipation has analysts saying that the majority appears to be out of reach for anyone.
About 27 million Canadians over the age of 18 were called to vote to elect the 338 members of the House of Commons. If neither of the two major parties that have rotated in power since 1867 is able to obtain a majority of seats in Parliament, the winner will be forced to form a minority government.
On the last day of the election campaign, Trudeau visited regions from the east to the west of the country. He called on the voters for a strategic vote, pointing out that the return of the conservatives to power means returning the country to the reverse, especially in the climate rank.
Erin O’Toole, who was in Toronto, promised Canadians to renew and launched a centrist campaign. And if neither of the two gets a majority, the future prime minister, Liberal or Conservative, will have to work with the smaller parties to rule in Ottawa. These include Jagmeet Singh’s New Democratic Party, which received 20% of vote intentions, and Bloc Quebec, the independent party led by Yves François Blanchett, which appears to have improved its position at the end of the campaign after a controversy. The Green Party, led by Anami Paul, the last major party in the race, has sought to get its message of a climate emergency and is trying to survive because of unity, image and funding problems. “The question, in the beginning, was whether the liberals deserved majority government, and the question now is whether they deserve to stay in power?” says Daniel Bilan, a professor at McGill University.